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Posts Tagged ‘new mexico’

Good news, part one: Early voting stats

Saturday, November 1st, 2008

Here’s something that should help to ease the troubled minds of those of you still panicking that Obama isn’t going to win. FiveThirtyEight reports this on the subject of early voting (my bolding):

“In the wee hours of this morning, Public Policy Polling released data from Colorado and New Mexico.

The toplines are strong for Obama, giving him leads of 10 and 17 points, respectively in those states.

What’s worse for McCain, however, is that PPP estimates that nearly two-thirds of Coloradans have already cast their ballots, as have 55-60 percent of New Mexicans, with large majorities of those votes going to Barack Obama.

This is backed up to some extent by Michael McDonald’s turnout statistics. In Colorado, the state had already processed approximately 1.3 million ballots as of Thursday, around 60 percent of the total 2004 turnout. In Bernalillo County (Albuquerque), New Mexico (statewide figures are not available), 145,000 ballots had been cast as of Wednesday, equaling 55 percent of 2004’s total.”

Got that? Not only are early voters tending to vote for Obama, but a massive percentage of the electorate has already turned out to vote. Oh, and Colorado and New Mexico are swing states.

Now. Stop worrying. It’s going to be a good day on November 5th. :-)

Colorado, New Mexico and Iowa all turning blue

Tuesday, October 21st, 2008

This from CNN (my bolding):

“The McCain campaign is looking at an Electoral College strategy heading into the final two weeks that has virtually no room for error and depends heavily on a dramatic comeback in Pennsylvania, which hasn’t backed a Republican for president in 20 years.

While Iowa, New Mexico and Colorado are still officially listed as McCain target states, two top strategists and advisers tell CNN that the situation in those states looks increasingly bleak. Iowa and New Mexico always have been viewed as difficult races, but the similar assessment of Colorado reflects a dramatic shift for a campaign that had long counted on the state.

“Gone,” was the word one top McCain insider used to describe those three states.

This source said while the polls in Colorado remain close, he and most others in the operation were of the opinion that the Obama campaign and its allies have a far superior ground/turnout operation and “most of us have a hard time counting on Colorado.”"

More great news from the swing states

Wednesday, October 1st, 2008

From the Politicalwire blog:

“An early look at today’s Diageo/Hotline tracking poll shows Sen. Barack Obama now holds a double-digit lead in key battleground states.

Among registered voters surveyed in Colorado, Michigan, New Hampshire, New Mexico, Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Wisconsin and Nevada, Obama tops McCain 50 to 40%. Just a week ago, Obama led 45% to 42%.

Nationwide, Obama leads 47% to 41%.”